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Is There a Global Recession on the Horizon?

15 mins.
09 MAY, 2022
análisis macroeconómico
ANALYSTS:
Ignacio de la Torre
Leopoldo Torralba
CATEGORIES:
Macro Global Monetary Policy Financial Markets Global US Europe China AER Global AER Personal
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Once again, uncertainty is taking over the global outlook to the highest degree. The combination of the still present pandemic, skyrocketing inflation, expected interest rate hikes and a major military conflict is generating great concern among economic agents and generalised crash in financial assets both in stock and bond markets. Thus, GDP data for the world's main geographical blocks have recently been published generating even greater fears.
What are our conclusions about the recent data, its catalysts, and its extrapolation to the future?
What scenario should we expect in terms of growth for 2022?
What are growth expectations like for US, Chinese and European economies?
Will inflation keep its current growth pace?
Why have markets underperformed so far in the year?

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