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How Does the Coronavirus End? The Issue with Immunity
03 Aug 2020
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Clock 20 mins.
CATEGORIES: AER Premium AER Personal Global Coronavirus
ANALYSTS:
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Ignacio de la Torre
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Leopoldo Torralba
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Álvaro Cabo
During the past few months, the pandemic has spread from advanced to emerging markets, the latter currently facing peak outbreaks. As European countries head into the ‘new normal’, there are questions regarding when and how COVID-19 will disappear. In our opinion, the answer lies in two further questions: is there a level of immunity which could protect the population of future outbreaks and make the virus disappear? What are the expectations regarding an effective treatment or vaccine in the short-term? Keeping with our analysis and monitoring of the COVID-19 pandemic, we are publishing “How does the coronavirus end? The issue with immunity” in which we discuss herd immunity. In a future note we will detail the situation regarding vaccines and treatments.
dot What types of immunity are generated against an infectious agent and what are the particularities of the immune response against the coronavirus?
dot What is the key concept of threshold in achieving herd immunity and its role in the end of the pandemic?
dot How are levels of herd immunity a factor in the intensity of future outbreaks, which determine the intensity of the economic recovery?

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