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null The US Presidential Race: Will Election Polls Predict the Winner this Year?

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The US Presidential Race: Will Election Polls Predict the Winner this Year?
28 Sep 2020
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Clock 20 mins.
CATEGORIES: AER Premium AER Personal US Politics
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Diego Mejía
With the race to the White House entering the final stretch, election polls have Joe Biden clearly in the lead. Unsurprisingly given the political upset in 2016, people are wary of the polls this year. This report is a guide for analysing US election polls and other predictive tools. In it, we give reasoned answers to the pressing questions regarding the real probability of outcome on Election Day
dot Has the polling industry fixed its mistakes?
dot What is the best way to assess polling data in this election?
dot Who will win the election?

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