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Will There Be a Shocking Credit Crunch in the Western Economy?

5 mins.
13 APRIL, 2023
ANALYSTS:
Ignacio de la Torre
Leopoldo Torralba
CATEGORIES:
Macro Global Monetary Policy Banking sector US Europe AER Global
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At present, the biggest threat to the global economy is the risk of a credit crunch that could significantly impede growth. In this brief note, we examine the potential severity of the credit slowdown and its impact on both global and european GDP growth. Our analysis draws on extensive historical empirical evidence, which has enabled us to reach some intriguing conclusions:
Analysis of a potential credit tightening in the US
Analysis of a potential credit tightening in the euro area

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