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null On Potential Coronavirus Outbreaks in Autumn: Differences with the Spanish Flu

Report
On Potential Coronavirus Outbreaks in Autumn: Differences with the Spanish Flu
08 Jun 2020
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Clock 25 mins.
CATEGORIES: AER Premium AER Personal Spain Coronavirus
ANALYSTS:
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Álvaro Cabo
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Ignacio de la Torre
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Leopoldo Torralba
In this report we look at a recent study by the University of Minnesota that monitors pandemics since 1700 to analyse which scenarios are more likely for the evolution of COVID-19 in Spain and how the current situation differs from similar past ones. A second wave, like the one that occurred during the Spanish Flu pandemic, would have dire medical and economic consequences. Determining whether this may be the case is one of the goals of our report. Moreover, in order to make plans for recovery, it is critical to understand how the pandemic may evolve in the future, since the medical and economic spheres will go hand in hand in the coming months.
dot What are the most likely scenarios for the evolution of the COVID-19 in Spain?
dot What are the differences with past pandemics?
dot What are the chances of a second wave, as happened with the Spanish flu pandemic?

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