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null Delta variant: Economic implications of increased contagion

Delta variant: Economic implications of increased contagion
13 Jul 2021
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Clock 15 mins.
CATEGORIES: AER Premium Spain Coronavirus Sector turístico
Ignacio de la Torre
Leopoldo Torralba
Pedro Larrasquitu
After the Spanish Government lifted nightlife restrictions in June, the cumulative incidence in Spain has grown exponentially (from 90 to 300-400 per 100,000 inhabitants), especially among unvaccinated young people. The reason is the proliferation of the Delta variant, which became dominant in July, as we forecast some time ago. Therefore, social alarm is on the rise, as is the uncertainty about its potential adverse effect on the tourist season that has just began, and on the economic recovery unfolding since the second quarter.
dot Which are the real factors of concern regarding the Delta variant? What are the most relevant aspects of the vaccines against this variant?
dot What could the impact of the foreseeable medical evolution on the Spanish economy be?
dot What are the risks associated with new mutations, and the possible new restrictions and confinements?