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Does the New COVID-19 Variant Represent a Turning Point?

5 mins.
26 NOVEMBER, 2021
análisis macroeconómico
Ignacio De la Torre
Leopoldo Torralba
Pedro Larrasquitu
Coronavirus Global AER Global AER Personal
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The COVID-19 pandemic has been an ever-evolving phenomenon since it broke out more than one year ago. As such, the variables that affect its evolution must be continuously monitored. The emergence of a new variant in South Africa, named B.1.1.529, has fuelled market risks for its potential disrupting effect. In this brief note, we examine, based on the data available, the foreseeable impact of this new variant against the current backdrop of public health normalization. We try to answer the following questions:
Could it be more transmissible than Delta?
How might currently available vaccines respond to the new variant?
Could it be a turning point in the evolution of severe cases that end up in hospitalization or death?

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