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Does the Decline in Money Supply in Europe Mean a Recession is Coming?

15 mins.
06 SEPTEMBER, 2023
ANALYSTS:
Leopoldo Torralba
Ignacio de la Torre
CATEGORIES:
Macro Global Global Europe AER Global
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A negative economic data point was recently published in the eurozone: a year-on-year decline in money supply. Many consider this a leading indicator of GDP performance indicative of a future recession. But is this conclusion entirely justified? In this brief note, we unravel this rather technical phenomenon.

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