May the Indian Variant Mean a Turning Point in the Pandemic?
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May the Indian Variant Mean a Turning Point in the Pandemic?
Aitor Merino
Modified 1 Year ago.
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May the Indian Variant Mean a Turning Point in the Pandemic?
5 mins.
29 APRIL, 2021
ANALYSTS:
Pedro
Larrasquitu
Ignacio
De la Torre
Leopoldo
Torralba
CATEGORIES:
CoronavirusEmerging CountriesAER GlobalAER Personal
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The public health crisis in India has worsened since late March with an exponential surge in cases, hospital admissions and deaths. The emergence of a new variant, B.1.617, has set off alarm bells and some countries, like Spain, have forced travellers from the South Asian country to quarantine, others, like the US, have asked their citizens to leave India immediately. In this short report, we analyse the situation in India to infer what the main implications may be for the rest of the world and, as such, on the timeline for social and economic normalcy.
How dangerous is the Indian variant? Could it become dominant over the rest?
Are there any other factors that help explain the increase in cases?
Could it alter the timeline for achieving herd immunity in Europe and the US?
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