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Is Spanish Consumer Spending Threatened by Rising Euribor?

15 mins.
19 SEPTEMBER, 2023
ANALYSTS:
Leopoldo Torralba
Ignacio de la Torre
CATEGORIES:
Macro Spain Monetary Policy Real Estate Spain AER España AER Personal
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The sharp rise in interest rates is causing logical confusion about its potential impact on household consumer spending in Spain, which is a critical variable when forecasting GDP growth. Will household consumer spending be off the rails? Why might it be less correlated with interest rates than is more commonly believed? This brief report looks closely at this situation and uses empirical evidence to dismantle a series of widespread beliefs of economic agents.

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